
Start with overnight snowfall and wind direction. The headline number only helps once you know whether a cold inland trough is the pattern to watch. With a 750 to 1215 metre elevation band and 465 metres of vertical, the sheltered trees make modest reloads feel deeper than the raw number. A seasonal baseline around 8 metres means small clean refills matter more than waiting for a giant number. The swing variable is wind: light flow lets the trees refill, while a hard blast strips the exposed entrances. With patrol boundaries in play, focus on how the inbounds snow will hold through the first half of the day. Chase it when 5 to 15 cm lands overnight with light to moderate wind; if gusts climb, make it a sheltered-tree day.
See which resorts in Nagano are getting the best 24 hour totals and the next two days of snow.